P.D. Aligica
From the Abstract
This article is a contribution to the development of the epistemological foundations of Future Studies, criticising the conventional "covering-law" model, which asserts the symmetry between prediction and explanation, a model that continuews to undermine the authority of Future Studies as a discipline despite the fact that Logical Positivism, the epistemological paradigm that inspired it, is no longer dominant.
He underlines the need for a specific epistemology of prediction, which should explicitly deal with the intrinsic social nature of knowledge and knowledge production... theory and epistemology of prediction should be anchored int o the emerging field of Social Epistemology (from the conclusion)
(www.elsevier.com/locate/futures)
Futurism, scenarios and crystal balls - how do people think about the future - and what is it worth?
Wednesday, December 03, 2003
About perspectivist scenario building - Perspektivistisk scenariobygging-planleggingens 'missing link'?
An Article by E. Ă˜verland, discussing the merits of perspectivist scenario building compared to managerial planning, future extrapolations, and other foresight methods. He underlines the two most important objectives with the perspectivist method: systematic future orientation based on broad involvement within an organisation - and border-transgressing perspectives on national-international, internal organisaion, culture and competence as well as macro-and micro perspective.
An Article by E. Ă˜verland, discussing the merits of perspectivist scenario building compared to managerial planning, future extrapolations, and other foresight methods. He underlines the two most important objectives with the perspectivist method: systematic future orientation based on broad involvement within an organisation - and border-transgressing perspectives on national-international, internal organisaion, culture and competence as well as macro-and micro perspective.
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